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Cover

The Globotics Upheaval

Globalization, Robotics, and the Future of Work

Richard Baldwin

Publication Date - September 2020

ISBN: 9780197518618

304 pages
Paperback
6-1/8 x 9-1/4 inches

In Stock

Retail Price to Students: $19.95

Richard Baldwin counters the combined threat of globalization and robotics with new policy perspectives to protect professional and service workers.

Description

At the root of inequality, unemployment, and populism are radical changes in the world economy. Digital technology is allowing talented foreigners to telecommute into our workplaces and compete for service and professional jobs. Instant machine translation is melting language barriers, so the ranks of these "tele-migrants" will soon include almost every educated person in the world. Computing power is dissolving humans' monopoly on thinking, enabling AI-trained computers to compete for many of the same white-collar jobs. The combination of globalization and robotics is creating the globotics upheaval, and it threatens the very foundations of the liberal welfare-state.

Richard Baldwin, one of the world's leading globalization experts, argues that the inhuman speed of this transformation threatens to overwhelm our capacity to adapt. From computers in the office to automatic ordering systems in restaurants, we are familiar with the how digital technologies offer convenience while also eliminating jobs. Globotics will disrupt the lives of millions of white-collar workers much faster than automation, industrialization, and globalization disrupted the lives of factory workers in previous centuries. The result will be a backlash. Professional, white-collar, and service workers will agitate for a slowing of the unprecedented pace of disruption, as factory workers have done in years past.

Baldwin argues that the globotics upheaval will be countered in the short run by "shelter-ism" - government policies that shelter some service jobs from tele-migrants and thinking computers. In the long run, people will work in more human jobs-activities that require real people to use the uniquely human ability of independent thought-and this will strengthen bonds in local communities. Offering effective strategies such as focusing on the social value of work, The Globotics Upheaval will help people prepare for the oncoming wave of an advanced robotic workforce.

Features

  • Compelling analysis of how a new form of globalization will combine with software robots to disrupt service-sector and professional jobs in the same way automation and trade disrupted manufacturing jobs in the past
  • Puts today's disruption in the context of two historical cycles where technological impulses produced economic transformations, upheavals, backlashes, and resolutions
  • Provides a concise overview of what types of jobs will be affected by software robots and pervasive translation that open new opportunities for outsourcing to tele-migrants
  • Argues persuasively that future jobs will be more human and involve more face-to-face contact since software robots and tele-migrants will do everything else

About the Author(s)

Richard Baldwin is Professor of International Economics at the Graduate Institute (Geneva), and Founder of VoxEU.org. He advises governments and international organizations around the world on globalization and trade policy issues, having served as a Senior Staff Economist for President George Bush's Council of Economic Advisors. His last book was The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization.

Reviews

"This speculative book attempts to describe the future of work and explain how to prepare for it. Baldwin lays out various different attributes of working life, according to the different talents and industries involved." -- Richard N. Cooper, Foreign Affairs

"Richard Baldwin has written the best book yet on the new economic era we are entering. Any worker, company or government who doesn't want to be left behind should read and consider his arguments." -- Lawrence H. Summers

"With its focus on the scale, speed and scope of technological transformation, and its impact on employment, this book breaks new ground." -- Gordon Brown, UK Prime Minister, 2007-2010

"Baldwin presents a compelling view of the future of work and the serious challenges ahead while there is still time to prepare. He wisely argues that we must protect workers, without necessarily protecting specific jobs as they become outdated, and that we must do more to help those who've been displaced by technology reenter the workforce and offer such individuals a strong safety net along the way."--Science magazine

"An important new book that delivers a timely warning to the world's business elite . . . confirms his place as one of the most important thinkers in this era of global disruption." --James Crabtree, Financial Times

"'It might just save your life -- and your children's lives.The Globotics Upheaval is a manifesto for future-proofing our jobs and prosperity . . . His prose is snappy . . . as good a summary as you'll read of the techno-revolution that is about to hit us." -- Sunday Times (U.K.)

"Baldwin has written an engaging and informative book that guides the reader through this disruptive technological change. The Globotics Upheaval distils complex ideas into measured and understandable language that readers with no prior understanding of artificial intelligence and economics will be able to digest."--The Times (U.K.)

"The first book I've come across that ties together the two main forces shaping our world--globalisation and technological change--in an accessible way."--Business Post

"Provocative."--Reuters/Breakingviews

"This is a thought-provoking book by a leading expert on world trade." --Martin Wolf, Financial Times

Table of Contents

    1. Introduction

    PART I: HISTORICAL TRANSFORMATION, UPHEAVAL, BACKLASH, AND RESOLUTION
    2. We've Been Here Before - The Great Transformation
    3. The Second Great Transformation - From Things to Thoughts

    PART II: THE GLOBOTICS TRANSFORMATION
    4. The Digitech Impulse Driving Globots
    5. Tele-Migration and the Globotics Transformation
    6. Automation and the Globotics Transformation

    PART III: THE GLOBOTICS UPHEAVAL AND BACKLASH
    7. The Globotics Upheaval
    8. New Backlash, New Shelterism

    PART IV: THE GLOBOTICS RESOLUTION
    9. A More Human, More Local Future
    10. The Future Doesn't Take Appointments - Preparing for the New Jobs

    Index

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